Treasury Management and Cash Flow Forecast
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Program Professional Framework
Treasury Management and Cash Flow Forecast
Program Overview
Accurate cash forecasting is the foundation of every treasury decision, from funding and investing to covenant management. «Treasury Management and Cash Flow Forecast» concentrates on building and running a forecasting process: direct and indirect methods, short-term receipts and payments forecasts, 13-week rolling forecasts, medium-term liquidity planning, collecting inputs from business units, measuring forecast accuracy and variance, scenario and stress testing, and using forecasts to plan borrowing, investment and FX actions in a GCC context.
Learning Outcomes
- ✓Build a short-term direct cash forecast from receipts and payments data.
- ✓Prepare a 13-week rolling cash forecast and update it with actuals.
- ✓Reconcile a medium-term indirect forecast to budgeted profit and working capital movements.
- ✓Measure forecast accuracy and analyse variances by category and source.
- ✓Run liquidity stress scenarios and determine required headroom and facilities.
- ✓Translate forecast results into funding, investment and hedging decisions.
Target Audience
- Treasury managers and cash forecasting analysts
- FP&A and budget analysts
- Financial controllers in multi-entity groups
- Finance staff in government-related entities managing liquidity
Detailed Program Modules
01Treasury Objectives and the Role of Forecasting
- Liquidity, funding and risk objectives
- Forecast horizons and their uses
- Forecasting governance and ownership
02Short-Term Direct Forecasting
- Receipts and payments categories
- Data sources from AR, AP, payroll and projects
- Daily and weekly forecast mechanics
03Rolling and Medium-Term Forecasts
- 13-week rolling forecasts
- Indirect method from budgeted profit
- Seasonality, government payment cycles and project milestones
04Accuracy and Variance Analysis
- Accuracy metrics and tolerance levels
- Root causes of forecast errors
- Continuous improvement of inputs
05Scenarios and Liquidity Stress Testing
- Scenario design for revenue and payment delays
- Liquidity headroom and covenant testing
- Contingency funding arrangements
06Using Forecasts for Treasury Decisions
- Borrowing and facility utilisation plans
- Surplus cash investment decisions
- FX and interest rate hedging timing
Training Methodology
Applied Project & Assessment
Applied Project
Participants build a 13-week rolling cash forecast for a provided group or their own organisation, measure its accuracy against actuals, run two liquidity stress scenarios and present funding and investment recommendations.
Assessment
Short diagnostic at the start, practical tasks linked to each learning outcome, and evaluation of the applied project against published criteria.